Thursday, July 9, 2009

Economically Equipped

The Budget Plan drawn by the Government of India every year, interests me a lot. It may be because of a Chartered Accountant father who used to come home, early in the afternoon, to watch the proceedings of the Budget on DD National. But as life got busier and probably, more advanced, it converged into following it on the internet. But, the trend always continued. I would still watch the TV, either the news or the proceedings. I would relentlessly follow the life-changing decisions-scrapped surcharge, fertiliser subsidies and the like, with the same impassive expression, whether or not I really understood those finance words.

A Budget is a financial plan that the Government makes every year (according to a mandate in an Article in the Constitution) where it details out the country's income and expenditure for the year ahead. The Finance Ministry comsists of some 100-200 ministers who may be economists, financiers.,et cetera. There are three different kinds of funds that the Government allocates the money into.

--> Consolidated Fund comprising revenues in and out of the Govt., loans it gives and receives, tax collected. etc. Transactions involving money in this fund always require parliamentary authorisation before implementation.

--> Contingency Fund comprising of some amount of money allocated for emergency purposes, say war, flood, drought which does not require parliamentary authorisation (which means the President can use it directly).

--> Public Accounts Fund comprising all the service schemes like National Service Schemes, Prime Minister Fund and other schemes.

Now, acquainting with how the budget works, procedures followed, loop-holes, coverups, ministry woes and how the united efforts spill out in the undeniably soothing words of P.Chidambaram or from the heavily accented words of Pranab Mukherjee, it's Macroeconomy. Studying the system, that's what it is!

But, when I asked my father, "So, tell me something about the budget!". He promptly began, "Surcharge has been removed, Fringe Benefit Tax has also been scrapped,..." and so on, an explanation ensued. Detailing the budget nittigritties at an individual level, about how it affects you and me (Fine, fine, even if I don't pay tax, I exercise my freedom to the use of the phrase non literally.), is Microeconomy.

So, once the Government lays out the Budget plan, it tallies it income and expenditure, but despite all efforts, there's always a Budget Deficit. When the proposed expenditure leaps ahead of the proposed income, the amount by which the income falls short is the budget deficit. And, after hushing questions regarding how to deal with this, one possible solution comes out to be, literally, "Mint Money". Oh yea, the Finance Minister telephones the RBI Chairman and says, "Hey buddy, print about 15 lakh crores, budget deficit. Catch ya then." And that's where aam aadmi is affected. More money spells Inflation.

So, more money in the markets. Each of us has more money than before. But, the market situation, in terms of supply has not changed. I have more money and I want to buy a car. My neighbour has more money and he also wants to buy a car. And, so the story extends to every other guy and his neighbour who all want to buy cars. The car seller is mobbed. His company does not manufacture as many cars as people mobbing him. So, now there is an imbalance between the market forces of demand and supply. More demand, but not enough supply.

The car seller is confused as to what to do. How can he get the company to manufacture 500 cars when they have been giving an output of 100, in the same timeframe? A problem intitally, but eventually he evens it out. He increases the price of the car. Now, he has the same car output from the manufacturer, but he wards away sections of the mob by introducing a pseudo selection screen on the basis of money. Now the buyer (the final one) ends up paying more for a car that was not even worth his final bill. So, when "too much money chases too little 'items'", we all are struck by price rise. An artificial increase in prices. There is no value for the increase. The money that we use becomes a dummy. It's just a piece of paper after all.

Yours

8 comments:

  1. Nice stuff!! You're prolly on the way to becoming a close second to Nani Palkhiwala, on explaining the budget to lowly lay-people like us.
    The thing I like about your writing is that in each of your posts you attempt to write about something different (at least it looks like that),in Krithika style. Looking forward to reading your next entry! :)

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  2. Thanks a ton! Will keep you curious...Now you see how the blog name comes.

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  3. the doubts which i had still trouble me. eg where does this money go (which RBI prints to overcome deficit)?. or.. you said it reaches the citizens - how?

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  4. For instance, RBI printed 2 lakh crores to over come budget deficit. The actual deficit was 4 lakh crores. Orders were te print two lakh crores. And this money is circulated among the citizens.

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  5. how is it circulated? why dont i get it? how come i have never heard people talk about "free money they got from the RBI"?

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  6. So, this money is just used to bridge the gap between income and expenditure. And the Government would have allocated funds for various things (for instance, bridge construction, fertiliser subsidy and so on), and the money is just given to the Government. The Government uses the money for some already allocated purpose.

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  7. actually, the money really goes into their pockets.

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  8. heaven knows, whose all pockets the money goes into.. All we know is more the money in the market, more the inflation. It also so seems that the RBI should have gold and forex reserves for the equivalent money they print. Now when they print more money than the equivalent gold and stuff, its quite obvious that the available gold and forex adjusts itself to the money in vogue. Finally, as krithika has said, we end up with inflation. And hope you also know about the fact that inflation is both negative and positive, and either ways it affects the economy and thus the price of goods. But i would like to know which one affects more and why? Also the most inflated country as of now is zimbabwe with an inflation of 231,000,000% in July 2008. They recently printed their trillion dollar note. I would be a trillionaire there.. :-P

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